Drone Taxi Market Developments, Key Growth Drivers, Key Challenges, Forecast 2030
The Drone Taxi market size is forecasted to grow from an estimated USD 74 million in 2025 to reach USD 860 million by 2030, at a CAGR of 63.0% from 2025 to 2030. The recent technological developments in the drone taxi market hold a promising future whereby cities are expected to adopt next-generation transportation systems using unmanned systems. Cities around the world are facing transportation challenges due to the increasing road traffic which causes major problems for mass transportation. Moreover, growth in disposable income coupled with the reducing cost of automobiles for personal use have led to an increase in the number of automobiles, thereby increasing environmental concerns.Automobiles are among the prime sources of greenhouse gases being emitted into the earth’s atmosphere resulting in global warming which is expected to increase the demand for electric drone taxis.
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has been unprecedented on a global scale. The consequences have been wide reaching, particularly for aviation. The drone taxi market is still in its formative stages; hence, it relies on a shared flight model to make the economics work.
Pre-COVID-19, the drone taxi industry experienced an impressive growth trajectory. In the first few months of 2020 alone, over USD 1 billion was invested in the sector, with Toyota leading a USD 590 million investment in Joby Aviation (US) and EHang’s (China) USD 650 million IPO valuation. In 2019, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) in the US announced that it was engaged with manufacturers of more than 15 eVTOL aircraft. Uber Air, EHang, Volocopter, Joby Aviation, and Lilium are among those who have signaled their intent to launch commercial passenger operations within the next three to five years.
Based on Passenger Capacity, DroneTaxis having Passenger Capacity of 3 to 5 is expected to grow at the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Drone taxis with a passenger carrying capacity of 3 to 5 will lead the market as they will be more cost-efficient when it comes to paying for regular commute and can reduce the possibility of air traffic. Also, the segment has promising investments and developments by companies like Lilium (Germany), Uber Elevate (US), and Ehang (China).
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Based on the Range, the Intracity segment to account for the largest share of Drone Taxi during the forecast period
Intracity transportation will lead the market, as the service will be helpful for on-demand air transportation within core urban areas and residential suburban destinations outside cities or around city centers. Manufacturers like Volocopter (Germany), Airbus (US), KittyHawk (US), Lift (US), Ehang (China), and Boeing (US), among others, are heavily investing in the development of next-generation intracity transportation.
“Europe is forecasted to account for the largest share of Drone Taxi market in 2025.”
Europe is expected to account for the largest share (46%) of the drone taxi market in 2025. In this region, a few urban communities have joined the Urban Air Mobility (UAM) Initiative, which comprises the European Innovation Partnership on Smart Cities and Communities (EIP-SCC). The initiative focuses on generating a business opportunity for metropolitan air portability. The guidelines for the Urban Air Mobility industry are also being drafted. According to the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA), air taxicabs and ambulances can become a reality in the European airspace by 2026.
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